The Philadelphia Eagles won’t have much time to enjoy their Week 11 win over the Chiefs as they’ll host the Buffalo Bills in Week 12 as 3-point NFL odds favorites.
With the Bills rolling into Lincoln Financial Field with significant injuries to their secondary, are the Eagles the right side to back on Sunday?
I break down the Week 12 odds and offer my free NFL picks for Bills vs. Eagles on November 26.
Bills vs Eagles odds
Bills vs Eagles predictions
The Philadelphia Eagles were listed at -3.5 on the look-ahead line for this Week 12 clash. Following their fortunate win vs. the Chiefs — coupled with the Buffalo Bills’ blowout of the Jets — this line reopened at -3 and has bounced between -3 and -3.5.
Once Saturday comes around and the injuries to the Buffalo secondary are much clearer, it might be hard to find even some expensive -3s.
Entering Week 11, the Bills were already without Matt Milano (their best coverage linebacker), corner Tre’Davious White, and safety Kaiir Elam, before also losing a trio of starters last week in Taron Johnson, Taylor Rapp, and Dane Jackson. Considering the severity of those injuries, it’s tough to see a scenario where Buffalo comes into this meeting with a decent stable of defensive backs.
The Buffalo passing defense also didn’t have to do anything vs. the Jets last week, as Zach Wilson and Co. totaled just 155 yards of offense. The Bills won’t have the luxury of doing that as the Eagles’ passing attack could have a giant game coming off a short week.
Between Weeks 7 and 10, the Bills faced Mac Jones, Baker Mayfield, Joe Burrow, and Russell Wilson. Those four quarterbacks averaged 26.25 completions on 36.25 passes (72.4%) for 262.5 yards and 2.0 TDs to 0.0 INTs. The Bills’ defense also ranked 31st in EPA/play and 30th in EPA/dropback over that stretch.
I’m excited about buying in on the Eagles at -3, and I’m willing to overlook the potential letdown spot and the short week. Keep in mind that the Bills have their bye next week and could be eying that as well.
My best bet: Eagles -3 (-115 at PointsBet)Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.
MORE NFL FREE PICKS
Bills vs Eagles same-game parlay
Eagles -2.5Jalen Hurts Over 37.5 rushing yardsA.J. Brown 100+ receiving yards
+750 at bet365
There are no flat numbers at bet365 for SGPs, so I’m taking the -2.5 here.
Jalen Hurts’ knee issues are behind him, and following a nine-carry day (three kneel-downs) and two scores in Week 11, he is ready to push his rushing total back up to the mid-40s.
And although A.J. Brown was a non-factor last week thanks to Kanas City’s defense, I expect the All-Pro wideout to crush a gutted Buffalo defense. He could easily lead all receivers in yards in Week 12.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Best NFL bonuses
All UsersBet $20 in NFL same-game parlaysGet $10 in bonus bets! Claim Now
All Users50% boost for 3+ leg parlay/SGPe.g. +400 BOOSTS to +520! Claim Now
All Users50% boost 4+ leg parlay/SGPe.g. +300 BOOSTS to +450! Claim Now
Eligible USA locations only. Also, see our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2023.21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
